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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cracovia Krakow host Zaglebie Lubin in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cracovia Krakow 3–1 Zaglebie Lubin.
Going into the match, Cracovia Krakow had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Zaglebie Lubin had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Cracovia Krakow's last 10 and 6 of Zaglebie Lubin's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cracovia Krakow averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Zaglebie Lubin averaged 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Cracovia Krakow and 0.97 from Zaglebie Lubin. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 30%, against 49%, 27% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cracovia Krakow (green) and Zaglebie Lubin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow | LLLLD | 1.20 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
| Zaglebie Lubin | WLWWD | 1.20 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Zaglebie Lubin 0–0 Cracovia Krakow
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.