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Challenge Cup · Scotland
Cove Rangers vs Formartine United prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cove Rangers host Formartine United in the Challenge Cup (Scotland) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cove Rangers 2–1 Formartine United.
Going into the match, Cove Rangers had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 13. Formartine United had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cove Rangers's last 10 and 6 of Formartine United's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cove Rangers averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Formartine United averaged 1.56 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.03 goals from Cove Rangers and 1.52 from Formartine United. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 28%, against 56%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cove Rangers (green) and Formartine United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cove Rangers | DLWWL | 2.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Formartine United | WLWWW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 80% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.54 |
| Cove Rangers Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Cove Rangers HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 2-1 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.