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CONCACAF Nations League · International
Costa Rica vs Haiti prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Costa Rica host Haiti in the CONCACAF Nations League (International) on 5 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Costa Rica 2–0 Haiti.
Going into the match, Costa Rica had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Haiti had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Costa Rica's last 5 and 4 of Haiti's last 8; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Costa Rica averaged 3.00 goals scored and 4.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Haiti averaged 2.00 scored and 2.67 conceded across 3.
The 1X2 prices imply about 44% for Costa Rica, 27% for the draw and 30% for Haiti once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Costa Rica (green) and Haiti (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costa Rica | WLLLL | 1.40 | 2.40 | 40% | 80% |
| Haiti | WWWLL | 2.00 | 1.63 | 50% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Sep 2026 · Haiti 2–0 Costa Rica
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.