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Campionato · San Marino
Cosmos vs Juvenes / Dogana prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cosmos host Juvenes / Dogana in the Campionato (San Marino) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cosmos 1–0 Juvenes / Dogana.
Going into the match, Cosmos had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Juvenes / Dogana had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Cosmos's last 10 and 5 of Juvenes / Dogana's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cosmos averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Juvenes / Dogana averaged 0.33 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Cosmos and 0.63 from Juvenes / Dogana. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 16%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cosmos (green) and Juvenes / Dogana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cosmos | WWWLD | 1.60 | 0.70 | 30% | 30% |
| Juvenes / Dogana | LLLLW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.82 |
| Cosmos Win | 47% | 1.85 |
| Cosmos HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.