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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Cosenza vs Foggia prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cosenza host Foggia in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cosenza 0–2 Foggia.
Going into the match, Cosenza had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 22. Foggia had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Cosenza's last 10 and 4 of Foggia's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cosenza averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Foggia averaged 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Cosenza and 1.29 from Foggia. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 39%, against 31%, 30% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cosenza (green) and Foggia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.