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Süper Lig · Turkey

Çorum FK vs Rizespor prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Çorum FK host Rizespor in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Çorum FK 2–1 Rizespor.

Going into the match, Çorum FK had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Rizespor had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Çorum FK's last 10 and 4 of Rizespor's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Çorum FK averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Rizespor averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Çorum FK and 1.01 from Rizespor. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 16%, against 47%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Çorum FK (green) and Rizespor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%
Attack70% – 30%
Defence44% – 56%
Overall strength50% – 49%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Çorum FKWLWWL2.001.3040%60%
RizesporLDWLW1.001.2040%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals77%1.22
Double Chance 1X73%1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals70%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals67%1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.50
BTTS Yes57%1.62
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.73
Under 9.5 Corners54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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