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Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Spain
Cortes vs Izarra prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cortes host Izarra in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cortes 0–2 Izarra.
Going into the match, Cortes had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 17. Izarra had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Cortes's last 9 and 5 of Izarra's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cortes averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Izarra averaged 2.57 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.61 goals from Cortes and 2.48 from Izarra. From that it rates a home win at 7%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 78%, against 24%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cortes (green) and Izarra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.82 |
| Izarra Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Izarra HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.