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Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Correcaminos Uat vs Venados FC prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Correcaminos Uat host Venados FC in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 31 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.35, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Correcaminos Uat had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Venados FC had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Correcaminos Uat's last 10 and 9 of Venados FC's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Correcaminos Uat averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Venados FC averaged 1.50 scored and 2.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Correcaminos Uat and 1.95 from Venados FC. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 41%, against 42%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Correcaminos Uat (green) and Venados FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Correcaminos Uat | LLLDW | 1.00 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
| Venados FC | WDDWW | 2.30 | 1.70 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.34 |
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.79 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 51% | 1.89 |
| Correcaminos Uat Win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 33% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga de Expansión MX matches that day
- CA La Paz vs Dorados · 31 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: CA La Paz Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40