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USL League One · USA
Corpus Christi vs Naples prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Corpus Christi host Naples in the USL League One (USA) on 11 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.64, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Corpus Christi 0–1 Naples.
Going into the match, Corpus Christi had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Naples had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Corpus Christi's last 10 and 4 of Naples's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Corpus Christi averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.35 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Naples averaged 0.93 scored and 2.13 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Corpus Christi and 1.06 from Naples. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 30%, against 43%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Corpus Christi (green) and Naples (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi | LLWWL | 1.20 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
| Naples | WWWDD | 1.30 | 1.30 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| Corpus Christi Win | 42% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.