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Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Cornellà vs Peralada prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cornellà host Peralada in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 14 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cornellà 1–1 Peralada.
Going into the match, Cornellà had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Peralada had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Cornellà's last 10 and 5 of Peralada's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cornellà averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Peralada averaged 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Cornellà and 1.33 from Peralada. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 39%, against 54%, 26% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cornellà (green) and Peralada (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Cornellà Win | 54% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
| Cornellà HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.