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First Division · Ireland
Cork City vs Finn Harps prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cork City host Finn Harps in the First Division (Ireland) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cork City 2–0 Finn Harps.
Going into the match, Cork City had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 14. Finn Harps had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 28 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Cork City's last 10 and 5 of Finn Harps's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cork City averaged 2.62 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Finn Harps averaged 1.00 scored and 2.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.97 goals from Cork City and 0.72 from Finn Harps. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 6%, against 81%, 12% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cork City (green) and Finn Harps (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cork City | LLWLD | 2.30 | 1.40 | 80% | 80% |
| Finn Harps | LLLWL | 1.00 | 2.80 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 Jul 2026 · Finn Harps 0–3 Cork City
- 29 May 2026 · Cork City 4–0 Finn Harps
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Cork City HT & FT | 63% | 1.50 |
| Cork City 1st Half Win | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.