Home › League stats › Serie A › Coritiba vs Botafogo
Serie A · Brazil
Coritiba vs Botafogo prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Coritiba host Botafogo in the Serie A (Brazil) on 12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo.
Going into the match, Coritiba had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Botafogo had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Coritiba's last 10 and 5 of Botafogo's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Coritiba averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Botafogo averaged 1.38 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Coritiba and 1.48 from Botafogo. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 38%, against 35%, 28% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Coritiba (green) and Botafogo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Botafogo 2–2 Coritiba
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.