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Serie D - Girone D · Italy
Coriano vs Pontedera prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Coriano host Pontedera in the Serie D - Girone D (Italy) on 14 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Coriano to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Coriano 1–2 Pontedera.
Going into the match, Coriano had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Pontedera had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 9, with 4 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Coriano's last 10 and 3 of Pontedera's last 9; 1 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Coriano averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Pontedera averaged 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Coriano and 0.86 from Pontedera. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 23%, against 43%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Coriano (green) and Pontedera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Coriano Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.