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Primera Premier · Mexico
Cordobés vs Tigres de Alica prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cordobés host Tigres de Alica in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 10 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cordobés 1–0 Tigres de Alica.
Going into the match, Cordobés had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Tigres de Alica had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 9, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Cordobés's last 6 and 6 of Tigres de Alica's last 9; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cordobés averaged 0.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Tigres de Alica averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.78 goals from Cordobés and 1.38 from Tigres de Alica. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 50%, against 36%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cordobés (green) and Tigres de Alica (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordobés | WLLLD | 1.17 | 1.17 | 33% | 50% |
| Tigres de Alica | WDDLW | 1.44 | 1.00 | 67% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Tigres de Alica Win | 37% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.