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Segunda División · Spain

Cordoba vs Tenerife prediction and preview

5 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.25Market probability 75%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Cordoba host Tenerife in the Segunda División (Spain) on 5 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Cordoba 3–2 Tenerife.

Going into the match, Cordoba had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 23. Tenerife had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Cordoba's last 10 and 5 of Tenerife's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cordoba averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Tenerife averaged 1.56 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Cordoba and 1.54 from Tenerife. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 38%, against 49%, 28% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Cordoba (green) and Tenerife (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%
Attack60% – 40%
Defence40% – 60%
Head-to-head71% – 29%
Goals56% – 44%
Overall strength51% – 49%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
CordobaLWLLL1.402.3080%90%
TenerifeDLWDL1.301.3050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X77%1.22
Over 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Under 3.5 Goals71%1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.44
BTTS Yes54%1.73
Over 2.5 Goals51%1.85
Cordoba Win49%1.91

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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