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Copa Chile · Chile
Coquimbo Unido vs Cobreloa prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Coquimbo Unido host Cobreloa in the Copa Chile (Chile) on 7 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Coquimbo Unido 2–1 Cobreloa.
Going into the match, Coquimbo Unido had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Cobreloa had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Coquimbo Unido's last 10 and 4 of Cobreloa's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Coquimbo Unido averaged 1.24 goals scored and 0.65 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Cobreloa averaged 1.15 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Coquimbo Unido and 1.15 from Cobreloa. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 55%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Coquimbo Unido (green) and Cobreloa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coquimbo Unido | WLLLW | 1.10 | 1.40 | 70% | 40% |
| Cobreloa | WWLDL | 1.10 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Sep 2026 · Cobreloa 1–2 Coquimbo Unido
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Coquimbo Unido Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.