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J2 League · Japan
Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Consadole Sapporo host Iwaki in the J2 League (Japan) on 4 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Consadole Sapporo 2–1 Iwaki.
Going into the match, Consadole Sapporo had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 22. Iwaki had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Consadole Sapporo's last 10 and 5 of Iwaki's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Consadole Sapporo averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Iwaki averaged 1.23 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Consadole Sapporo and 1.05 from Iwaki. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 25%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Consadole Sapporo (green) and Iwaki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consadole Sapporo | LLDDL | 1.10 | 2.20 | 90% | 70% |
| Iwaki | LWWLL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Consadole Sapporo 2–1 Iwaki
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.