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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Conquense vs Albacete II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Conquense host Albacete II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Conquense Win — Conquense to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Conquense 4–0 Albacete II.
Going into the match, Conquense had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Albacete II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Conquense's last 10 and 3 of Albacete II's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Conquense averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Albacete II averaged 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.82 goals from Conquense and 1.03 from Albacete II. From that it rates a home win at 74%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 10%, against 60%, 24% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Conquense (green) and Albacete II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | LWWWD | 1.20 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
| Albacete II | LDLWD | 1.30 | 1.80 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Conquense Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Conquense HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.