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AFC Champions League Elite · International
Công An Nhân Dân vs Kashima prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Công An Nhân Dân host Kashima in the AFC Champions League Elite (International) on 13 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Công An Nhân Dân 0–1 Kashima.
Going into the match, Công An Nhân Dân had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 7. Kashima had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Công An Nhân Dân's last 10 and 6 of Kashima's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Công An Nhân Dân averaged 3.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Kashima averaged 1.73 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Công An Nhân Dân and 1.41 from Kashima. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 30%, against 15%, 22% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Công An Nhân Dân (green) and Kashima (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Công An Nhân Dân | WWLWW | 1.80 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
| Kashima | WWDWL | 2.60 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Kashima Win | 62% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.