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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Compostela vs Real Oviedo II prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Compostela host Real Oviedo II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Compostela 1–2 Real Oviedo II.
Going into the match, Compostela had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Real Oviedo II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Compostela's last 10 and 4 of Real Oviedo II's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Compostela averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Real Oviedo II averaged 0.50 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Compostela and 1.04 from Real Oviedo II. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 25%, against 43%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Compostela (green) and Real Oviedo II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compostela | LWDDL | 0.90 | 1.40 | 30% | 50% |
| Real Oviedo II | DLLWD | 1.00 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Compostela Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| Compostela HT & FT | 28% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.