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Serie A Women · Italy
Como W vs Fiorentina W prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Como W host Fiorentina W in the Serie A Women (Italy) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Como W 1–1 Fiorentina W.
Going into the match, Como W had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Fiorentina W had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Como W's last 9 and 5 of Fiorentina W's last 9; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Como W averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Fiorentina W averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Como W and 0.88 from Fiorentina W. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 25%, against 26%, 27% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Como W (green) and Fiorentina W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como W | LWWLD | 1.00 | 0.89 | 44% | 33% |
| Fiorentina W | WLLWL | 1.56 | 1.44 | 56% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Fiorentina W 1–0 Como W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.