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Segunda División · Peru
Comerciantes vs Deportiva Agropecuaria prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 20:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Comerciantes host Deportiva Agropecuaria in the Segunda División (Peru) on 11 Oct 2026, 20:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.24, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Comerciantes 0–2 Deportiva Agropecuaria.
Going into the match, Comerciantes had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Deportiva Agropecuaria had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Comerciantes's last 10 and 3 of Deportiva Agropecuaria's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Comerciantes averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Deportiva Agropecuaria averaged 0.44 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from Comerciantes and 0.72 from Deportiva Agropecuaria. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 27%, against 48%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Comerciantes (green) and Deportiva Agropecuaria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes | LLWLD | 1.30 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
| Deportiva Agropecuaria | WDWWL | 0.80 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Comerciantes Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.20 |
| Comerciantes HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.