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US Open Cup · USA
Columbus Crew vs St. Louis City prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Columbus Crew host St. Louis City in the US Open Cup (USA) on 22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Columbus Crew 0–0 St. Louis City.
Going into the match, Columbus Crew had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. St. Louis City had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Columbus Crew's last 10 and 7 of St. Louis City's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Columbus Crew averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 20 matches; away from home St. Louis City averaged 1.86 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Columbus Crew and 1.56 from St. Louis City. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 42%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Columbus Crew (green) and St. Louis City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | WWLWW | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| St. Louis City | LDWWW | 2.90 | 1.40 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Columbus Crew Win | 41% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.