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Major League Soccer · USA
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Colorado Rapids host San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 11 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
Going into the match, Colorado Rapids had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. San Jose Earthquakes had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Colorado Rapids's last 10 and 7 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Colorado Rapids averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 16 matches; away from home San Jose Earthquakes averaged 1.83 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Colorado Rapids and 1.09 from San Jose Earthquakes. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 32%, against 50%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Colorado Rapids (green) and San Jose Earthquakes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | LDLWD | 1.10 | 1.60 | 30% | 50% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | WDWWD | 1.40 | 1.90 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 May 2026 · Colorado Rapids 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Colorado Rapids Win | 49% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.