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Segunda División · Uruguay
Colón vs Oriental prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Colón host Oriental in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Colón 0–0 Oriental.
Going into the match, Colón had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Oriental had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Colón's last 10 and 5 of Oriental's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Colón averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Oriental averaged 1.14 scored and 1.21 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Colón and 1.14 from Oriental. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 33%, against 34%, 31% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Colón (green) and Oriental (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Jun 2026 · Oriental 1–1 Colón
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Oriental Win | 35% | 2.55 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.