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Friendlies · International
Colombia vs Paraguay prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Colombia host Paraguay in the Friendlies (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Colombia 0–1 Paraguay.
Going into the match, Colombia had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 8 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 3. Paraguay had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 7, with 9 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Colombia's last 8 and 2 of Paraguay's last 7; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Colombia averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Paraguay averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 55% for Colombia, 26% for the draw and 19% for Paraguay once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Colombia (green) and Paraguay (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Colombia Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.