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Copa Chile · Chile
Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Colo Colo host D. Puerto Montt in the Copa Chile (Chile) on 6 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Colo Colo Win — Colo Colo to win. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Colo Colo had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 6. D. Puerto Montt had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Colo Colo's last 10 and 4 of D. Puerto Montt's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Colo Colo averaged 2.69 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home D. Puerto Montt averaged 0.64 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.48 goals from Colo Colo and 0.69 from D. Puerto Montt. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 8%, against 75%, 17% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Colo Colo (green) and D. Puerto Montt (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colo Colo | WWDDD | 1.70 | 0.60 | 50% | 50% |
| D. Puerto Montt | LLLWL | 0.80 | 1.80 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Sep 2026 · D. Puerto Montt 0–1 Colo Colo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Colo Colo Win | 75% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| Colo Colo 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.