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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cobán Imperial host Malacateco in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 3 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Cobán Imperial Win — Cobán Imperial to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cobán Imperial 2–0 Malacateco.
Going into the match, Cobán Imperial had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Malacateco had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cobán Imperial's last 10 and 3 of Malacateco's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cobán Imperial averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Malacateco averaged 0.71 scored and 2.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Cobán Imperial and 0.84 from Malacateco. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 19%, against 57%, 26% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cobán Imperial (green) and Malacateco (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobán Imperial | WDDDL | 1.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
| Malacateco | LWDLW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · Malacateco 1–1 Cobán Imperial
- 17 Apr 2026 · Malacateco 2–0 Cobán Imperial
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Cobán Imperial Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Cobán Imperial HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.