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Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Club Tijuana U21 vs Puebla U21 prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Club Tijuana U21 host Puebla U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 16 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.95, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Club Tijuana U21 had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Puebla U21 had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Club Tijuana U21's last 10 and 5 of Puebla U21's last 10; 6 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Tijuana U21 averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Puebla U21 averaged 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Club Tijuana U21 and 1.05 from Puebla U21. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 33%, against 49%, 25% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Club Tijuana U21 (green) and Puebla U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Tijuana U21 | LDLWD | 1.40 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Puebla U21 | LDDWD | 1.00 | 0.60 | 50% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Club Tijuana U21 Win | 46% | 1.83 |
| Club Tijuana U21 HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.