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Division Profesional - Clausura · Paraguay

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense prediction and preview

10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 73%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Club Sp. San Lorenzo host Sportivo Trinidense in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense.

Going into the match, Club Sp. San Lorenzo had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 16. Sportivo Trinidense had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 10 and 6 of Sportivo Trinidense's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Sp. San Lorenzo averaged 0.45 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sportivo Trinidense averaged 1.73 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.66 goals from Club Sp. San Lorenzo and 1.77 from Sportivo Trinidense. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 63%, against 20%, 25% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Club Sp. San Lorenzo (green) and Sportivo Trinidense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form18% – 82%
Attack18% – 82%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals38% – 62%
Overall strength26% – 74%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Club Sp. San LorenzoDDWLL0.501.6040%50%
Sportivo TrinidenseWWLWL1.401.1060%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1274%1.25
Under 3.5 Goals73%1.30
Over 1.5 Goals71%1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
Sportivo Trinidense Win53%1.62
Under 2.5 Goals53%1.85
BTTS No51%1.80
Under 9.5 Corners51%1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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