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Liga MX · Mexico
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Club Queretaro host Atlante FC in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Club Queretaro 2–0 Atlante FC.
Going into the match, Club Queretaro had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Atlante FC had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Club Queretaro's last 10 and 5 of Atlante FC's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Queretaro averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Atlante FC averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Club Queretaro and 0.92 from Atlante FC. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 21%, against 45%, 27% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Club Queretaro (green) and Atlante FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | WDWWL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
| Atlante FC | WDLDD | 0.90 | 1.70 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.