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Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
Club Nacional vs Rentistas prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Club Nacional host Rentistas in the Copa Uruguay (Uruguay) on 15 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Club Nacional 3–0 Rentistas.
Going into the match, Club Nacional had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Rentistas had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Club Nacional's last 10 and 5 of Rentistas's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Nacional averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Rentistas averaged 1.36 scored and 1.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Club Nacional and 1.13 from Rentistas. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 24%, against 60%, 24% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Club Nacional (green) and Rentistas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | WWWWW | 1.60 | 0.70 | 40% | 30% |
| Rentistas | LWLWL | 1.10 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.