Club Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Club Nacional host Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División (Uruguay) on 19 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Club Nacional to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Club Nacional 3–2 Deportivo Maldonado.

Going into the match, Club Nacional had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 7. Deportivo Maldonado had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Club Nacional's last 10 and 4 of Deportivo Maldonado's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Nacional averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Deportivo Maldonado averaged 1.36 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Club Nacional and 1.35 from Deportivo Maldonado. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 41%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Club Nacional (green) and Deportivo Maldonado (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

• 1 Jun 2026 · Deportivo Maldonado 3–0 Club Nacional
• 12 Apr 2026 · Deportivo Maldonado 4–2 Club Nacional

More on this match

• Club Nacional form and statistics
• Deportivo Maldonado form and statistics
• Primera División statistics