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Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Club Leon U21 vs Club America U21 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Club Leon U21 host Club America U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Club Leon U21 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Club Leon U21 1–1 Club America U21.
Going into the match, Club Leon U21 had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. Club America U21 had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Club Leon U21's last 10 and 5 of Club America U21's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Leon U21 averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Club America U21 averaged 1.33 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Club Leon U21 and 1.12 from Club America U21. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Club Leon U21 (green) and Club America U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Leon U21 | WWWWD | 1.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
| Club America U21 | WLLWD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Club Leon U21 3–1 Club America U21
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Club Leon U21 Win | 41% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.