Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.53Market probability 60%Final score 0–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Club Guarani host Nacional Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Club Guarani 0–2 Nacional Asuncion.

Going into the match, Club Guarani had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Nacional Asuncion had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Club Guarani's last 10 and 3 of Nacional Asuncion's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Guarani averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Nacional Asuncion averaged 1.33 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.59 goals from Club Guarani and 1.14 from Nacional Asuncion. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 48%, against 35%, 30% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Club Guarani (green) and Nacional Asuncion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form45% – 55%

Attack46% – 54%

Defence33% – 67%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals33% – 67%

Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Club Guarani	DDWWD	1.20	0.90	60%	20%
Nacional Asuncion	WDDDW	1.70	0.50	30%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

10 Aug 2026 · Nacional Asuncion 0–0 Club Guarani
4 May 2026 · Club Guarani 0–1 Nacional Asuncion

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Double Chance 12	69%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	64%	1.44
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	62%	1.50
Under 2.5 Goals	60%	1.53
BTTS No	53%	1.73
Over 8.5 Corners	50%	1.83
Club Guarani Win	36%	2.55

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.