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Division Profesional - Clausura · Paraguay
Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Club Guarani host Club Sp. San Lorenzo in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Club Guarani 1–1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
Going into the match, Club Guarani had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Club Sp. San Lorenzo had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Club Guarani's last 10 and 4 of Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Guarani averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Club Sp. San Lorenzo averaged 0.50 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Club Guarani and 0.54 from Club Sp. San Lorenzo. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 14%, against 61%, 24% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Club Guarani (green) and Club Sp. San Lorenzo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Guarani | WWDWD | 1.00 | 0.80 | 50% | 20% |
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | DWLLL | 0.50 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Jul 2026 · Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Club Guarani
- 11 Apr 2026 · Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–0 Club Guarani
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Club Guarani Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.