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Liga MX · Mexico
Club America vs Monterrey prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Club America host Monterrey in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 11 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Club America 1–1 Monterrey.
Going into the match, Club America had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Monterrey had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Club America's last 10 and 6 of Monterrey's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club America averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Monterrey averaged 1.27 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Club America and 1.60 from Monterrey. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 30%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Club America (green) and Monterrey (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club America | LWDLL | 2.00 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
| Monterrey | WLWDL | 1.60 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Sep 2026 · Club America 2–2 Monterrey
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| Club America Win | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.