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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cliftonville FC host Ballymena United in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cliftonville FC 0–1 Ballymena United.
Going into the match, Cliftonville FC had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Ballymena United had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Cliftonville FC's last 10 and 7 of Ballymena United's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cliftonville FC averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ballymena United averaged 2.27 scored and 1.40 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Cliftonville FC and 1.42 from Ballymena United. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 45%, against 46%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cliftonville FC (green) and Ballymena United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliftonville FC | LLLWW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Ballymena United | WDDLD | 1.50 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Cliftonville FC Win | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.