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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Cittadella vs Albinoleffe prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cittadella host Albinoleffe in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cittadella 1–2 Albinoleffe.
Going into the match, Cittadella had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 5. Albinoleffe had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Cittadella's last 10 and 7 of Albinoleffe's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cittadella averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Albinoleffe averaged 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Cittadella and 0.88 from Albinoleffe. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 19%, against 58%, 25% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cittadella (green) and Albinoleffe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella | WWWWW | 2.00 | 0.50 | 40% | 50% |
| Albinoleffe | DWLDL | 1.50 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Cittadella Win | 58% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.