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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Portugal
Cinfães vs Alpendorada prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cinfães host Alpendorada in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Cinfães to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cinfães 0–0 Alpendorada.
Going into the match, Cinfães had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Alpendorada had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Cinfães's last 9 and 5 of Alpendorada's last 8; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cinfães averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Alpendorada averaged 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Cinfães and 0.99 from Alpendorada. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 34%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cinfães (green) and Alpendorada (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cinfães | DLLDW | 1.67 | 1.33 | 44% | 44% |
| Alpendorada | WLLDL | 1.63 | 1.50 | 63% | 63% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| Cinfães Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.