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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Cieza vs Intercity prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cieza host Intercity in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Cieza to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cieza 3–1 Intercity.
Going into the match, Cieza had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 10. Intercity had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cieza's last 10 and 6 of Intercity's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cieza averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Intercity averaged 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Cieza and 0.86 from Intercity. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 20%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cieza (green) and Intercity (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Cieza Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.