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Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico
Ciervos vs Halcones Negros prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ciervos host Halcones Negros in the Liga Premier Serie A (Mexico) on 3 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ciervos 0–5 Halcones Negros.
Going into the match, Ciervos had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 16. Halcones Negros had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with 12 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Ciervos's last 6 and 2 of Halcones Negros's last 5; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ciervos averaged 0.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Halcones Negros averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Ciervos and 3.08 from Halcones Negros. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 75%, against 23%, 24% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ciervos (green) and Halcones Negros (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciervos | DLLLL | 0.67 | 2.67 | 33% | 67% |
| Halcones Negros | WLWLD | 2.40 | 0.80 | 40% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.56 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Halcones Negros Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Halcones Negros HT & FT | 36% | 2.55 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.