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Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico
Ciervos vs Cañoneros Marina prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ciervos host Cañoneros Marina in the Liga Premier Serie A (Mexico) on 17 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ciervos Win — Ciervos to win. It was published at odds of 2.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 39% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ciervos 3–1 Cañoneros Marina.
Going into the match, Ciervos had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 8 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 26. Cañoneros Marina had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 8, with 2 scored and 31 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Ciervos's last 8 and 2 of Cañoneros Marina's last 8; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ciervos averaged 0.25 goals scored and 3.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Cañoneros Marina averaged 0.00 scored and 4.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.40 goals from Ciervos and 0.83 from Cañoneros Marina. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 10%, against 39%, 22% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ciervos (green) and Cañoneros Marina (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciervos | LLDLL | 0.75 | 3.25 | 38% | 75% |
| Cañoneros Marina | LLLLL | 0.25 | 3.88 | 25% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ciervos Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Ciervos HT & FT | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Premier Serie A matches that day
- Halcones Negros vs Acambaro · 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Liga Premier Serie A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–6 - Artesanos Metepec vs Dragones de Oaxaca · 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Premier Serie A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico · 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Premier Serie A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Atlético Saltillo vs Acatlan · 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Premier Serie A
Published pick: Double Chance X2