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Primera División · Peru
Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cienciano host UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División (Peru) on 18 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cienciano 1–0 UTC Cajamarca.
Going into the match, Cienciano had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. UTC Cajamarca had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Cienciano's last 10 and 8 of UTC Cajamarca's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cienciano averaged 1.82 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 17 matches; away from home UTC Cajamarca averaged 1.18 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from Cienciano and 1.00 from UTC Cajamarca. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 15%, against 73%, 17% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cienciano (green) and UTC Cajamarca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cienciano | WDLLW | 1.30 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
| UTC Cajamarca | LLLLL | 1.10 | 2.30 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · UTC Cajamarca 2–2 Cienciano
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Cienciano Win | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Cienciano 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.