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I Liga · Poland
Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chrobry Głogów host Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in the I Liga (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chrobry Głogów 0–4 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Going into the match, Chrobry Głogów had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Chrobry Głogów's last 10 and 6 of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chrobry Głogów averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki averaged 1.46 scored and 2.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Chrobry Głogów and 1.37 from Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 35%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chrobry Głogów (green) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrobry Głogów | LLDDW | 0.80 | 1.00 | 40% | 20% |
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | LWLWL | 1.50 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.