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Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chornomorets host FC Kharkiv in the Premier League (Ukraine) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Kharkiv Win — FC Kharkiv to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chornomorets 1–2 FC Kharkiv.
Going into the match, Chornomorets had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. FC Kharkiv had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Chornomorets's last 10 and 2 of FC Kharkiv's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chornomorets averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Kharkiv averaged 2.33 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.87 goals from Chornomorets and 1.63 from FC Kharkiv. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 54%, against 14%, 24% and 62% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chornomorets (green) and FC Kharkiv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | DLDWL | 0.70 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
| FC Kharkiv | WWWWW | 2.40 | 0.80 | 20% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| FC Kharkiv Win | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.