Home › League stats › Super League › Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng
Super League · China
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chongqing Tongliang Long host Shandong Luneng in the Super League (China) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Shandong Luneng.
Going into the match, Chongqing Tongliang Long had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Shandong Luneng had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 10 and 7 of Shandong Luneng's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chongqing Tongliang Long averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Shandong Luneng averaged 1.64 scored and 1.57 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.40 from Shandong Luneng. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 43%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chongqing Tongliang Long (green) and Shandong Luneng (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | LLDLD | 0.70 | 1.30 | 40% | 20% |
| Shandong Luneng | DLWLW | 1.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Shandong Luneng 3–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.