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Super League · Malawi
Chitipa United vs MAFCO prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chitipa United host MAFCO in the Super League (Malawi) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chitipa United 2–0 MAFCO.
Going into the match, Chitipa United had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. MAFCO had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Chitipa United's last 10 and 3 of MAFCO's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chitipa United averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home MAFCO averaged 0.29 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Chitipa United and 0.65 from MAFCO. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 18%, against 47%, 31% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chitipa United (green) and MAFCO (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitipa United | DDWLW | 0.70 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
| MAFCO | LLDLL | 0.80 | 1.40 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · MAFCO 2–0 Chitipa United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.54 |
| Chitipa United Win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.88 |
| Chitipa United HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.