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China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23 prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
China PR U23 host Uzbekistan U23 in the Asian Games (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Uzbekistan U23 Win — Uzbekistan U23 to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: China PR U23 2–2 Uzbekistan U23.
Going into the match, China PR U23 had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 7 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 3. Uzbekistan U23 had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 7, with 14 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of China PR U23's last 7 and 2 of Uzbekistan U23's last 7; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home China PR U23 averaged 1.80 goals scored and 0.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Uzbekistan U23 averaged 1.67 scored and 0.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from China PR U23 and 1.09 from Uzbekistan U23. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 36%, against 18%, 26% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between China PR U23 (green) and Uzbekistan U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China PR U23 | LWDDW | 1.43 | 0.43 | 29% | 57% |
| Uzbekistan U23 | DWWWW | 2.00 | 0.43 | 29% | 29% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| Uzbekistan U23 Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.