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Serie D - Girone B · Italy
Chievo vs Tritium prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chievo host Tritium in the Serie D - Girone B (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Chievo Win — Chievo to win. It was published at odds of 1.39, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chievo 5–0 Tritium.
Going into the match, Chievo had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Tritium had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 6, with 7 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Chievo's last 10 and 5 of Tritium's last 6; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chievo averaged 2.14 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Tritium averaged 1.00 scored and 3.33 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.90 goals from Chievo and 0.88 from Tritium. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 8%, against 69%, 20% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Oct 2026 · Chievo 5–0 Tritium
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.27 |
| Chievo Win | 69% | 1.39 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.39 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.93 |
| Chievo HT & FT | 47% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.